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Theme-Day Presentations

IATRC Annual Meeting
December 11-13, 2011
Berkeley, California

"Agricultural Price Volatility, Trade Policy and Food Security in Developing Countries"
Theme Day Organizer: Will Martin, The World Bank
Non-Theme Day Organizer: P. Lynn Kennedy, Louisiana State University

Theme-Day Presentations: "Agricultural Price Volatility, Trade Policy and Food Security in Developing Countries"

• Food Prices and the Poor: The Differential Welfare Effects of Volatility and Levels (pdf)
  Christopher B. Barrett (Cornell University)
  Discussant: Christopher Delgado (The World Bank)
• Short and Long-Run Impacts of Food Prices on Poverty (pdf) / slides (pdf)
  Will Martin (The World Bank)
  Discussant: Anna D’Souza (ERS, USDA) – remarks (pdf)
• Impacts of Climate Change and Biofuel Policies on Commodity Market Volatility
  Thomas Hertel (Purdue University and Stanford University)
  Discussants: Susan Capalbo (Oregon State University)
• Optimal Policies for Individual Countries in Managing Food Price Volatility (pdf) / slides (pdf)
  Christophe Gouel (The World Bank and CEPII)
  Discussant: Ian Sheldon (Ohio State University) – remarks (pdf)
• Impact on World Price Volatility of Many Countries Using Trade Policy to Stabilize Domestic Prices (pdf) / slides (pdf)
  Kym Anderson (University of Adelaide)
  Discussant: Terry Roe (University of Minneosta) – remarks (pdf)
• Round Table Discussion (pdf)
  Panel: Hafez Ghanem (FAO), Maximo Torero (IFPRI), Brian Wright (University of California, Berkeley)

Non-Theme Day Paper Presentations

NTMs, Agricultural and Food Trade, and Competitiveness: Findings from the NTM-IMPACT Project
Organizers: Christine Wieck and David Orden

• Overview of the Aggregate Data Collection and Effects of NTMs (pdf)
  Marie-Luise Rau, Karl Shutes, and Christine Wieck
• A Systematic Approach to Regulatory Heterogeneity Applied to EU Agri-Food Trade (pdf)
  Heloisa Burnquist, Maurício J. Souza, Rosane N. Faria, Marie-Luise Rau, and Karl Shutes
• Compositional Standards, Import Licenses and Market Structure: The Case of Canadian Cheese Imports (pdf)
  Marie-Hélène Felt, Bruno Larue, and Jean-Philippe Gervais

Trade Modeling

• Choosing the Best Model in the Presence of Zero Trade: A Fish Product Analysis
  Nhuong Tran and Norbert L. Wilson
• Evolution of Vertical Intra-Industry Trade (VIIT) in Agricultural Commodities
  Hanho Kim and Ken'ichiro Nishitsuji
• Costs of Starting to Trade and Costs of Continuing to Trade
  Mark J. Gibson and Tim A. Graciano

Trade Agreements

• Regionalism versus Multilateralism: An Assessment of the European Union Trade Policy
  Alessandro Antimiani and Luca Salvatici
• Regional Trade Agreements Revisited: The Irrefutable Benefits of "Deep" Integration
  Jason H. Grant
• The Impact of Free Trade Agreements on Trade of Selected Agricultural Products
  John Wainio, John Dyck, Agapi Somwaru, and John Duff

Domestic Support Measurement and WTO Discipline Issues
Organizer: Anne Effland

• WTO Disciplines on Agricultural Support: Final Results of the IFPRI Project (pdf)
  David Orden, David Blandford, and Tim Josling
• Domestic Support in Russia’s WTO Accession (pdf)
  Lars Brink
• Comparative Analysis of Data Frameworks for Agricultural Policy Analysis: The WTO-Notifications and the OECD’s PSE Database
  Klaus Mittenzwei, and Tim Josling
• Continuing and Emerging Issues in Measuring Domestic Agricultural Support
  Anne Effland

Trade Agreements and Policy Analysis

• Agricultural Trade Volumes in the Western Hemisphere: The Influence of History and Regionalism
  H. Mikael Sandberg and James L. Seale
• Trade Agreements, Political Economy, and Endogenously Incomplete Contracts (pdf)
  Na Li and Alan Ker
• Do World Prices Matter to Consumers in the Developing World?
  Felix G. Baquedano and Shahla Shapouri

Non-Tariff Trade Barriers

• Phytosanitary Treatments and International Trade: An Empirical Investigation of US Fresh Fruit and Vegetable Imports
  Everett Peterson, Jason Grant, Donna Roberts, and Vuko Karov
• Disentangling the Demand-Enhancing Effect and Trade-Cost Effect of Technical Measures in Agricultural Trade Among OECD Countries
  Bo Xiong and John Beghin
• Trigger Points of the Special Safeguard Mechanism
  Peyton M. Ferrier and Amanda M. Leister

Trade Modeling

• Simulating the Effects of Supply and Demand Elasticities on Political-Economic Equilibrium (pdf)
  David S. Bullock
• Foreign Price Risk and Source-Wise Import Demand: The Case of Soybeans in China (pdf)
  Andrew Muhammad
• International Trade and Water
  Jeff Reimer

Trade and Competitiveness

• Competitiveness in International Food and Agricultural Markets (pdf)
  Maury Bredahl
• The 'Next-11' and Brics: Future Markets For Agrifood Exports?
  Alex Cairns and Karl Meilke
• Do Exports Raise Productivity? Plant-Level Evidence from the Colombian Agri-Food Industries
  Ivan T. Kandilov and Xiangping Liu

Trade and Domestic Policy Analysis

• A Gravity Model Analysis of Mexico’s Retaliatory Tariffs on Selected U.S. Agricultural Products (pdf)
  Steven Zahniser, Tom Hertz and Monica Argoti (Presented by John Wainio)
• Effect of Tariff Escalation on Export Shares: A Computable General Equilibrium Modeling Approach
  G. Badri Narayanan and Sangeeta Khorana
• Ethanol Policy Effects on Petroleum and Petroleum Product Markets: A Stochastic Analysis
  Jarrett Whistance and Wyatt Thompson

NTM-IMPACT Case Study Session
Organizers: Christine Wieck and David Orden

• Impact on Fresh Lemon Markets of U.S. Regulation of Imports from Argentina
  Caesar Cororaton and Everett Peterson
• Analysis of Avian Influenza Related Quarantine Policies and the Impact on Global Poultry Meat Trade and Welfare (pdf)
  Christine Wieck, Simon Schlueter, Wolfgang Britz
• Assessment of Technical and Sanitary Regulations Upon Poultry Trade Flows for the EU-27 and Brazil (pdf)
  Maurício J. Souza, Luiza M. Fassarella, Rosane N. Faria, and Heloisa Burnquist

Food Price Volatility

• Evaluating the Doha Market Access Modalities (pdf)
  David Laborde, Will Martin, and Dominique van der Mensbrughe
• Limitations of Granger Causality Tests in Assessing the Price Effects of the Financialization of Agricultural Commodity Markets under Bounded Rationality (pdf) / slides (pdf)
  Stephanie Grosche
• Analysis of Price Volatility in the Indonesia Fresh Chili Market (pdf)
  Alan J. Webb and Ivan Aditirta Kosasih

International Price Transmission Issues

• International Price Transmission in CGE Models: How to Reconcile Econometric Evidence and Endogenous Model Response?
  Khalid Siddig and Harald Grethe
• Price Volatility Spill-over in a Customs Union: A Case Study of the South African Customs Union (SACU)
  Rakhal Sarker and Olubukola A. Oyewumi
• Food Security and Wheat Prices in Afghanistan: A Distribution-Sensitive Analysis of Household-level Impacts
  Anna D'Souza and Dean Jolliffe

Climate Policy and Trade

• Do Energy Prices Stimulate Food Price Volatility? Examining Volatility Transmission Between the US Oil, Ethanol and Corn Markets
  Cornelis Gardebroek and Manuel A. Hernandez
• Effects of China's Growth on the Food Prices and Food Exports of other Developing Countries (pdf)
  Nelson Villoria
• Climate Policy, Carbon Leakage, and Competitiveness: How Might Border Tax Adjustments Help? (pdf)
  Ian Sheldon and Steve McCorriston

Food Price Volatility

• Responding to More Volatile Global Food Prices in a New Era (pdf) / slides (pdf)
  Robert Townsend, Christopher Delgado, Sergiy Zorya, Iride Ceddacci, Saswati Bora, and Mateo Ambrosio
• How Thinly Traded are Agricultural Products and is this Related to their Price Volatility?
  Peter S. Liapis
• Did the Higher Food Prices Adversely Affect Food Security?
  Stacey Rosen and Shahla Shapouri

Trade and Developing Country Issues

• Using Self Determination Theory to Assess Market Interactions: Small Agricultural Exporters in Bolivia, Ecuador and Peru
  Linda M. Young and Theresa Bushman
• The Effects of Agricultural Commercialization on Household Food Security in Rural China
  Kathy Baylis, Lia Nogueira and Linlin Fan
• Agricultural Commercialization, Rising Food Prices and Stunting in Malawi
  Benjamin D. Wood
• Dissertation Report: The Impact of Historical and Regional Networks on Trade Volumes in the Western Hemisphere: A Gravity Model Analysis
  H. Mikael Sandberg, Univ of Florida (James Seale, PhD Advisor)

The Implications of Biofuel Policies for Grain Commodity Prices and WTO Disciplines

• The Theory of Biofuel Policy and Food Grain Prices
  Dusan Drabik, and David R. Just
• Ethanol Subsidies and WTO Disciplines
  Harry de Gorter and Erika M. Kliauga
  Discussant: Tim Josling

International Price Transmission Issues

• International Price Transmission: A Case Study of Corn Price Relationships Between the United States and African Markets
  Paul Gallagher and Amelia Fischer
• How Far Do Shocks Move Across Borders? Examining Volatility Transmission in Major Agricultural Futures Markets
  Manuel A. Hernandez, Raul Ibarra, and Canilo R. Trupkin
• Policy Responses to the 2007-2008 Food Price Swing and the Impact on Domestic Prices Case Study: Ecuador
  Sara A. Wong